Big Trouble in Little Springs

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Power rankings after Week 3

# Team Move Standings Pts Odds Cash Weekly Score All-play Top 6 ESPN
Now Proj Playoffs 1st Proj Avg Proj
1 BCB Purdy Mouth — 4 11.9 98% 49% $60 122.8 109.5 24-9 2/3 1
2 H2O High Quality H2O ▲2 3 11.0 92% 22% $29 111.9 107.7 21-12 2/3 3
3 8==D Mile High Space Cowboys — 3.5 10.5 88% 15% $19 105.2 102.8 20-13 3/3 2
4 LOCO Longmont Locomotives ▼2 2 9.6 80% 8% $61 116.5 110.7 23-10 2/3 7
5 PMAC The Feaux Ceaux White Smoke — 2.5 8.4 51% 2% $15 97.7 99.8 17-16 1/3 6
6 PEDE Erie Crutchwrap Supremes ▲2 2.5 8.4 51% 2% $15 100.1 96.6 18-15 1/3 4
7 P'EX Jack Burtons Porkchop Xpress — 2 8.0 42% 1% $12 92.7 96.8 18-15 2/3 11
8 Babe Westward Babyrattlesnake ▲1 2.5 7.9 38% 1% $9 91.1 92.3 13-20 1/3 5
9 KATS Katsopolis Rippers ▲1 1.5 7.8 41% 1% $38 92.0 97.7 17-16 1/3 10
10 STAG Westminster Bearded Stags ▼4 1.5 6.7 17% 0% $9 85.1 93.4 11-22 1/3 8
11 () Midtown Clameaters ▲1 1.5 4.4 1% 0% $3 71.7 81.5 8-25 1/3 9
12 D$ Pince's Pieces ▼1 0.5 4.3 1% 0% $4 76.9 82.3 8-25 1/3 12

Ranked by projected Standings Points, from 10,000 simulations of the 8 weeks left. Each simulated week scores every team from ESPN's projection for its best lineup, byes included, nudged towards its real Scores (a projection counts as 6 weeks of results), with a spread of ±22 points. Then it pays 1 for a win, ½ for a top-6 Score and $25 for the high Score, exactly as the Standings do. The dashed line is the playoff cut. ESPN's own ranking simulates win-loss records only.
Reconstructed. This table was rebuilt after the fact from the rosters and that week's ESPN projections as they were then. Later weeks use the rest-of-season projection ESPN serves now, which knows things nobody knew at the time.

Where each team finishes

Hover or tap a cell for the exact odds.
Final standings place for each team over 10,000 simulated seasons. Darker is more likely.
Team 123456789101112
BCB 48.7% 23.1% 12.9% 7.5% 4.1% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
H2O 21.9% 25.3% 18.4% 12.2% 8.5% 5.6% 3.8% 2.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
8==D 14.7% 19.2% 19.4% 15.6% 11.0% 8.1% 5.4% 3.5% 1.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
LOCO 7.8% 13.3% 16.3% 17.3% 14.0% 10.7% 8.0% 6.2% 3.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
PMAC 2.0% 5.2% 7.9% 11.1% 11.8% 12.8% 13.4% 13.4% 11.2% 7.2% 3.2% 0.9%
PEDE 1.7% 4.4% 7.5% 10.2% 13.1% 14.2% 13.9% 12.8% 11.0% 7.8% 3.0% 0.5%
P'EX 1.2% 3.3% 5.5% 8.1% 11.1% 12.7% 13.7% 13.6% 13.7% 10.2% 5.2% 1.6%
Babe 0.9% 2.7% 5.0% 6.8% 10.0% 12.8% 13.8% 14.9% 14.9% 11.5% 5.3% 1.4%
KATS 1.0% 2.9% 5.3% 8.0% 11.1% 12.7% 14.0% 13.8% 13.6% 11.2% 5.1% 1.5%
STAG 0.2% 0.7% 1.7% 2.9% 4.7% 7.0% 9.8% 13.0% 16.7% 20.8% 15.0% 7.6%
() 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 1.4% 3.3% 6.0% 13.8% 32.4% 42.0%
D$ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 1.7% 3.0% 5.9% 13.7% 29.9% 44.4%
Chance of finishing there 0 8.3% even 16.7%+

Generated Wed Oct 7, 11:44 AM · seed 202603